Rove Predicting Obama Win
Karl Rove, former White House strategist under George W. Bush, has released his electoral college prediction for the 2012 race. Like 2008, where his projection proved to be very accurate, he is predicting an electoral landslide for Barack Obama. Among some surprising notes, Rove suggests that South Carolina is not only in play, but also currently swinging in the President's favor. He also calls key battleground states Ohio and Florida for Obama, while Mitt Romney would take Iowa and Indiana, two states that voted for Obama last time.
While the election is still months away and Mitt Romney has yet to officially lock up the Republican Party nomination, Rove's projection has Obama currently slated to win at least 350 electoral votes. That is slightly down from the 365 he got in 2008. Why am I talking about the election predictions from someone like Karl Rove? As I said, in 2008 he predicted a landslide for Obama, and he was pretty much right. I don't remember his exact prediction last time, he may have gotten several states wrong, but he did call it correctly overall. You can see his map at the link provided. Positive margins are states currently going for Mitt Romney while negative margins are going for Barack Obama. Rove is using a scale measuring Romney's chances in each state.
I'll put it another way: According to Rove Obama has enough electoral votes in safe and lean states to clinch a second term that he does not need any of the toss-up states depicted in that map. But, the more the merrier.