Lugar in trouble
Lugar's chances don't look good for tomorrow. You know it's bad when a Republican is playing the "social security card" against his primary opponent at the last minute.
In a last gasp effort, Sen. Lugar pulls in saving Social Security as an angle against primary opponent Richard Mourdock.
And a Mourdock win would be very good news for Democrats. No slam dunk but much better odds than if Lugar is the opponent.
Democrats have a fairly good candidate in Indiana in the form of United States Representative Joe Donnelly, who represents the Second Congressional District and who narrowly retained his seat in a very tough environment for Democrats nationally in 2010. The Second District, which includes South Bend and Michigan City, is slightly Republican-leaning relative to the country as a whole but slightly Democratic-leaning relative to the rest of Indiana.
All of that points to a close race, and the lone poll featuring a Mourdock-Donnelly matchup showed the race to be an exact tie, although with both candidates lacking name recognition.