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Finding Favor

By Barbara Gordon - Posted on 18 April 2007

So the latest favorability numbers are out today, 4/18, from the Gallup Poll.

This is the question that was asked:

"We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them."

The numbers below are percentage of respondents giving the corresponding response. The number in parentheses is the change from two weeks ago.

Candidate         favorable         unfavorable         never heard of            no opinion

Obama                 52 (+3)             27 (+3)                 10 (-4)                     10 (-2)

Hillary                   45 (-2)              52 (+3)                 --                              4  (0)

Giuliani                 57 (-2)              29 (+4)                  6 (0)                         8 (-2)

McCain                 51 (-6)              32 (+6)                  6 (-2)                       10 (+1)


So what's all this mean?

It means Obama's looking pretty good with 52% of Americans having a "favorable" impression of the Senator. And note that all of the other candidates have watched their popularity slide.

It's significant that Obama is still the most unknown of these candidates, with 20% of Americans reporting that they've either never heard of him or have no opinion of him. It will be crucial that Obama (and his supporters) make a positive impact on these individuals.

The thing that jumps out at me in those numbers is the fact that Hillary has a 52% UNFAVORABLE rating.  That is an enormous number to overcome! 

Even the 10% "never heard" of is pretty small for Obama...McCain and Giuliani each have 6%!  Do the people taking this survey live in caves?!?  6% of people apparently weren't paying attention to NYC on 9/11.

Yep. That's the big spin on the numbers so far: Hillary is REALLY struggling with popularity. Nobody's neutral with Hillary. You're either for her or against her. And there are A LOT against her. If Obama were to win the primary, it may be tough for him to carry a red state, but it would be impossible for Hillary. She's just too polarizing.

Forgot to post the numbers for Romney. Look at this: 53% report either never having heard of him or having no opinion. Amazing for a guy that was that successful at fundraising. If you pull up the numbers, though, it appears that as people find out more about him, they're tending toward unfavorable rather than favorable opinion. I'm not sure he's as viable a candidate as some would hope.

That is interesting about Romney. He's also one of those canidates that probably couldn't win his own state...and it is my guess that he would have trouble in the South as well. There was also that poll a couple weeks ago about a lot of people not wanting to vote for a Mormon - I think Romney has HBO to thank for that.

The fact is that most recently, Clinton has been losing support among the party. Other Democrats are being attracted to Barack Obama and John Edwards for the Presidential ticket.

Well let me tell you something, here is one Democrat who has full intention to vote for Obama come the Michigan caucus. And I think if things keep up, we may be looking at Obama/Edwards 08.

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