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South Carolina, pt. 2

Barack won South Carolina today by 28 points - a wider margin than anyone had anticipated. Exit polls show some predicted trends: Obama, for example, did carry more of the non-white vote than the white vote. But surprisingly, perhaps, the caucasian vote did not go to Hillary, it went to Edwards. And in a change from the earlier states, where Obama was favored by better educated and more affluent voters, in South Carolina Obama fared equally well across income and education brackets.

A New Kennedy?

Caroline Kennedy has endorsed Barack Obama for president, making the announcement in an op-ed piece she wrote for the Sunday edition of the New York Times. She writes:

Obama v Clinton(s)

I read two solid commentaries on the Obama/Clinton feud today.

The first is a piece by EJ Dionne that notes just why the feud is so depressing for Democrats.


Senator Obama has finally added a section to his website addressing the viral emails circulating about him and his background. Several of us have been asking for this for six months. Why it took so long to respond to the rumors is beyond me. I can only assume that Obama thought it would be better to ignore the rumors altogether rather than dignify them with a response.

MLK speech

If you missed Obama's speech (video will open in new window) in Atlanta, it was one of the most impressive of his career.

If you prefer to read the text, you can see it here.


SuperTuesday's Split Decision

Michael Duffy and Rani Molla pose a scenario in which the GOP emerges from SuperTuesday with a rough four-way tie among Romney, McCain, Giuliani, and Huckabee.

South Carolina

Really pleased to see McCain making such a comeback. I still don't think he can win the nomination, but he'd be a great nominee for the party. Polls show he would carry the swing vote quite well. Current head-to-head projections show he could defeat Hillary and maybe Obama, although the latter margin is smaller. He's the only Republican that leads against the Democrats in head-to-head projections. I just don't understand why the Republican establishment seems so set against him.


While the headlines are screaming that Hillary won Nevada, the truth is that while she did win the popular vote, Obama won more delegates. This means he'll retain the lead in the overall delegate count. Polls show him leading heading into the South Carolina Democratic primary Saturday the 26th. This could be a big week for Barack.

Breaking down New Hampshire

The New Hampshire exit polls are interesting.

Regarding Obama's surprising defeat, it appears young voters didn't turn out in quite the numbers they did in Iowa. It also appears John McCain "stole" a lot of the independent vote. This supports what analysts have been saying for some time, that McCain is the only red candidate that could take on Obama.

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